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Debris-covered glacier systems and associated glacial lake outburst flood hazards: challenges and prospects

View ORCID ProfileA.E. Racoviteanu, View ORCID ProfileL. Nicholson, View ORCID ProfileN.F. Glasser, View ORCID ProfileEvan Miles, View ORCID ProfileS. Harrison and View ORCID ProfileJ.M. Reynolds
Journal of the Geological Society, 179, jgs2021-084, 24 January 2022, https://doi.org/10.1144/jgs2021-084
A.E. Racoviteanu
1Department of Geography, Exeter University, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK
2Department of Geography and Earth Sciences, Aberystwyth University, SY23 3DB, UK
Roles: [Conceptualization (Lead)], [Investigation (Equal)], [Writing – original draft (Lead)], [Writing – review & editing (Equal)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
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  • ORCID record for A.E. Racoviteanu
  • For correspondence: [email protected]
L. Nicholson
3Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, University of Innsbruck, Innrain 52, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
Roles: [Conceptualization (Equal)], [Writing – original draft (Equal)], [Writing – review & editing (Supporting)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for L. Nicholson
N.F. Glasser
2Department of Geography and Earth Sciences, Aberystwyth University, SY23 3DB, UK
Roles: [Project administration (Lead)], [Supervision (Lead)], [Writing – review & editing (Supporting)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
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  • ORCID record for N.F. Glasser
Evan Miles
4Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Zürcherstrasse, 111CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Roles: [Conceptualization (Supporting)], [Methodology (Supporting)], [Writing – original draft (Equal)], [Writing – review & editing (Equal)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
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  • ORCID record for Evan Miles
S. Harrison
1Department of Geography, Exeter University, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK
Roles: [Writing – review & editing (Supporting)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for S. Harrison
J.M. Reynolds
5Reynolds International Ltd, Wrexham Road, Mold, Flintshire CH7 1HP, UK
Roles: [Writing – original draft (Supporting)]
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  • ORCID record for J.M. Reynolds
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Figures

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  • Fig. 1.
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    Fig. 1.

    Surface of a debris-covered glacier: Ngozumpa Glacier in the Nepal Himalaya. Photo taken in 2008; credit: A. Racoviteanu.

  • Fig. 2.
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    Fig. 2.

    Components of a landsystem model for debris-covered valley glaciers. Relative positions of different surface features are indicative, as supraglacial features can exist in numerous configurations (credit: Gareth Evans and Naomi Lefroy).

  • Fig. 3.
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    Fig. 3.

    Decadal evolution of lakes in the Zemu basin of Sikkim Himalaya based on remote sensing: (a) 1962 panchromatic Corona KH4 imagery (7.5 m); (b) 2001 ASTER image; (c) 2006 Quickbird image (2.4 m) (d) 2020 PlanetScope image (3 m). All multispectral images are shown as colour composites (bands 3, 2 and 1) (revised and expanded from Racoviteanu et al. 2015).

  • Fig. 4.
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    Fig. 4.

    Stages in the evolution of the surface and equilibrium line altitude of a Himalayan debris-covered glacier. Adapted from Benn et al. (2012). Credit: Gareth Evans.

  • Fig. 5.
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    Fig. 5.

    Example plot of the output of a hazard ranking scheme shown from the analysis of 41 glacial lakes in the Pumqu catchment in Tibet.

  • Fig. 6.
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    Fig. 6.

    Elements of a hazardous moraine-dammed glacial lake showing the key stages of a glacier lake outburst flood: (1) propagation of displacement or seiche waves in the lake, and/or piping through the dam; (2) breach initiation and breach formation; (3) propagation of resultant flood wave(s) down-valley. Key triggers are labelled A to F: (A) glacier calving; (B) icefall from hanging glaciers; (C) rock/ice/snow avalanches; (D) dam settlement and/or piping; (E) ice-cored moraine degradation; (F) rapid input of water from supra-, en-, or subglacial (including subaqueous) sources. Conditioning factors are labelled a to d: increased lake volume, low dam width to height ratio, ice degradation, minimal freeboard (modified from Richardson and Reynolds 2000; Westoby et al. 2014).

Tables

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    Table 1.

    Debris properties of interest for various applications, and remote sensing techniques used on previous studies to estimate them

    PropertyData source/techniqueExisting studies
    Debris lithologyMedium to high optical remote sensing and hyperspectral data combined with in situ field spectrometryCasey et al. 2012; Casey and Kääb 2012
    Debris grain sizeHigh-resolution imagery, SfMMiles et al. 2017b; Detert and Weitbrecht 2020
    Debris layer porosity or bulk densityNo remote sensing method known yet; may be possible with polarimetric SAR
    Water contentNo remote sensing method known yet; may be possible with passive microwaveCollier et al. 2014; Giese et al. 2020
    Supraglacial vegetationNormalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI; spectral unmixingFickert et al. 2007; Racoviteanu et al. 2021
    Thermal conductivityNo remote sensing method known yet—
    Broadband albedoFormulae for anisotropy correction and narrow to broadband conversion, though not developed for rock debris specificallyKnap et al. 1999; Liang 2001; Greuell and Oerlemans 2004; Naegeli et al. 2017; Xu et al. 2020
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    Table 2.

    Remote sensing techniques used to map ice cliffs on debris-covered glaciers

    TechniqueData sourceNotesExisting studies
    Manual delineation of ice cliff crest or areaSatellite imagery (high resolution) including UAVTime consuming and subjective; limited application at large scalesSakai et al. 2002; Han et al. 2010; Brun et al. 2016; Steiner et al. 2019; Stefaniak et al. 2021
    Use of thermal imageryASTER, LandsatSpatial resolution is challengingHerreid and Pellicciotti 2018
    Feature detection (OBIA)High-resolution imagery including DEMSomewhat time consuming to set up the rules and may need some post-processingKraaijenbrink et al. 2016; Watson et al. 2017; Mölg et al. 2019
    DEM slope thresholding/topography relief metricsHigh-resolution DEMCan be used as proxy for ice cliff presence; high resolution DEMs limited in some areasReid and Brock 2014; Herreid and Pellicciotti 2018; King et al. 2020a
    SAR intensity trackingHigh-resolution SAR, e.g. TerraSAR-X, IceEyePotentially useful in areas where cloud-free optical data not available; other confounding surfacesno studies yet
    Optical broadband adaptive thresholdingHigh-resolution optical imageryFast, requires optimization of thresholdAnderson et al. 2021
    Multispectral thresholding; adapted linear spectral unmixingHigh-resolution multispectral optical imageryAccurate, requires optimizationKneib et al. 2020
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    Table 3.

    Existing remote sensing techniques to map supraglacial ponds on debris-covered glaciers

    TechniqueData sourceNotesExisting studies
    Manual delineationAny high-resolution data (<10 m)Time consuming and subjective but probably most accurateIwata et al. 2000; Salerno et al. 2012; Thompson et al. 2012; Watson et al. 2016; Miles et al. 2017b
    Band ratios or normalized-difference such as NDWILandsat, Sentinel-2, ASTER, etc. (>10 m)Manual/semi-automatic thresholding; can be improved using Planet microsatellite constellation which enables rapid-repeat monitoring at 3 m resolutionWessels et al. 2002; Bolch et al. 2008a; Gardelle et al. 2011; Liu et al. 2015; Narama et al. 2017; Miles et al. 2017a; Watson et al. 2018a; Kneib et al. 2020
    SAR backscatter intensitySentinel-1, TerraSAR-X, ENVISAT ASAR, ALOS PALSAR, ERS-1, 2 etc.The oblique geometry of radar imaging creates challenges for pond identification (and especially for monitoring) due to the highly variable topography of debris-covered glaciersStrozzi et al. 2012; Wangchuk and Bolch 2020; Zhang et al. 2021
    Feature extraction via decision-trees and/or OBIALandsat, Sentinel-2, Pleiades etc.Rules needed are subjective; it often commercial softwarePanday et al. 2011; Liu et al. 2015; Kraaijenbrink et al. 2016
    Sub-pixel spectral analysisLandsat, Sentinel, ASTERUpon careful end-member collection, ideally from field spectrometry; can be applied automatically at large scalesPanday et al. 2011; Scherler et al. 2018; Kneib et al. 2020; Racoviteanu et al. 2021
    Thermal imagingLandsat, ASTER, UAV• Supraglacial ponds are usually considerably cooler than surrounding debris (during the day, debris can reach 25°C or more) • • Application of thermal imagery is limited by relatively coarse resolution (90–100 m), potentially most suitable at present for UAV thermal imagery when existent Suzuki et al. 2007
    • View popup
    Table 4.

    Trigger potential and threshold parameters for glacial hazard assessment (modified from RGSL 2003; Reynolds 2014)

    Parameter affecting hazard Score02103050
    Threshold factors
    1Effective volume of lake water available for floodN/ALowModerateLargeVery large
    2Height of freeboard relative to lake levelNo damVery highHighModerateLow
    3Width/height ratio of terminal moraine damw ≫ hw > hw ≈ hw < hw ≪ h
    4Gradient of distal moraine damFlat-5°5–10°10–25°25–40°>40°
    Triggering factors
    5Height of glacier ice cliff and calving potentialNo cliffLowModerateHighVery high
    6Ice/rock avalanche into lakeOpen basinLowModerateHighVery high
    7Thermokarst degradation of ice within terminal moraineNo iceLowModerateHighVery high
    8Buoyancy of submerged stagnant ice based on possible ice volumeNo iceLowModerateHighVery high
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Journal of the Geological Society: 179 (3)
Journal of the Geological Society
Volume 179, Issue 3
May 2022
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Debris-covered glacier systems and associated glacial lake outburst flood hazards: challenges and prospects

A.E. Racoviteanu, L. Nicholson, N.F. Glasser, Evan Miles, S. Harrison and J.M. Reynolds
Journal of the Geological Society, 179, jgs2021-084, 24 January 2022, https://doi.org/10.1144/jgs2021-084
A.E. Racoviteanu
1Department of Geography, Exeter University, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK
2Department of Geography and Earth Sciences, Aberystwyth University, SY23 3DB, UK
Roles: [Conceptualization (Lead)], [Investigation (Equal)], [Writing – original draft (Lead)], [Writing – review & editing (Equal)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for A.E. Racoviteanu
  • For correspondence: [email protected]
L. Nicholson
3Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, University of Innsbruck, Innrain 52, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
Roles: [Conceptualization (Equal)], [Writing – original draft (Equal)], [Writing – review & editing (Supporting)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for L. Nicholson
N.F. Glasser
2Department of Geography and Earth Sciences, Aberystwyth University, SY23 3DB, UK
Roles: [Project administration (Lead)], [Supervision (Lead)], [Writing – review & editing (Supporting)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for N.F. Glasser
Evan Miles
4Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Zürcherstrasse, 111CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Roles: [Conceptualization (Supporting)], [Methodology (Supporting)], [Writing – original draft (Equal)], [Writing – review & editing (Equal)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for Evan Miles
S. Harrison
1Department of Geography, Exeter University, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK
Roles: [Writing – review & editing (Supporting)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for S. Harrison
J.M. Reynolds
5Reynolds International Ltd, Wrexham Road, Mold, Flintshire CH7 1HP, UK
Roles: [Writing – original draft (Supporting)]
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • ORCID record for J.M. Reynolds

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Debris-covered glacier systems and associated glacial lake outburst flood hazards: challenges and prospects

A.E. Racoviteanu, L. Nicholson, N.F. Glasser, Evan Miles, S. Harrison and J.M. Reynolds
Journal of the Geological Society, 179, jgs2021-084, 24 January 2022, https://doi.org/10.1144/jgs2021-084
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  • Article
    • Abstract
    • The debris-covered glacier landsystem: concept and components
    • Tools for observing and monitoring the debris-covered glacier landsystem and its components
    • Response of the debris-covered glacier landsystem to climate change
    • Strategies for assessing the hazard potential of a glacial lake
    • Remaining challenges and limitations
    • Conclusions and outlook
    • Acknowledgements
    • Author contributions
    • Funding
    • Competing interests
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